Study Number: 

1086

Project Title:

Recruitment potential of southern and local tree species.

Investigator(s):

James Clark  E-Mail | Tel. 919.660.7402 | Biographical Sketch
Ines Ibanez  E-Mail |
Tel. 919.660.7403
Affiliated Institution(s): Duke University   
Address: Duke University
Department of Botany
Durham, North Carolina  27708  United States
Study Type: Terrestrial
Project Type: Coweeta PI
Study Period:

06/2003 - 08/2005

Status/Notes:

Type 1

Funding Sources:

National Science Foundation, DEB-9632854 (Text Version) and DEB-0218001 (Text Version) to Coweeta LTER.

Abstract: For the Southeast US, biogeography models predict an increase in aridity with vegetation changes from temperate deciduous forest to southern mixed forest if there are moderate temperature increases, or to savanna landscapes under drier scenarios (Bachelet et al. 2001). Given this forecast, I hypothesize that the colonization potential of coastal and more southern species in the North Carolina Piedmont and southern Appalachians will be enhanced by a warmer and drier climate. The nature of this vegetation shift will mainly depend on the adaptability of these species to the specific characteristics of the sites. Considering that recruitment is the limiting stage for successful establishment of tree populations (Harper 1977), I propose to study recruitment limitation of potential migrant species relative to local trees in two regions in North Carolina, the Piedmont and the southern Appalachian mountains. Experimental manipulations will allow the quantification of recruitment potential of non-native tree species and their performance with respect to native species. Field and greenhouse experiments will be used to develop and parameterize a model of community recruitment. I will employ the model to elucidate potential changes in forest species composition under a suite of future climate scenarios. Both data and modeling work are expected to improve our understanding about the mechanisms that may be involved in restructuring communities in the face of a changing climate.


Resources for students about terms used in this study:
Temperate deciduous forest biome - Source: Virginia Polytechnic and State University
Coweeta site character
- Source: Coweeta LTER
Climate change
- Source: UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs
Location(s), Described: Project 1086 planting locations are in the vicinity of terrestrial gradient plots (photographs) 118, 218, and 527:

1) Nearby 118, SW exposure
2) Nearby 118 outside watershed 18, N exposure
3) Nearby 218, North
4) Ball Flats, low elevation
5) 18 gate, low elevation
6) At the fork that splits upper and lower gaps, S exposure
7) Cove before the upper gaps, outside watershed 28, N exposure
8) Nearby 527, N exposure
9) Nearby 527, outside watershed 527, S exposure
Location(s), Download GPS: ArcView Shape Files (shp.): UTM, NAD83, Zone 17  Lat/Lon 
Location(s), Online Maps: USGS Topographic-based Maps of Research Sites
(Printable for fieldwork)
Methods/Experimental Design: A few week-old seedlings of the following species will be planted at each location. Ten individuals of each species. The total area required at each location will be 25 m2. Plots will be marked with PVC (one foot long) and flagging tape. Seedlings will be also flagged with tape. After two summers, seedlings will be removed for mycorrhizal studies (roots and stems). Even if this mycorrhizal experiment does not take place, seedlings will still be removed at the end of the second summer.

Species codes:
ACBA - Acer barbatum
ACRU - Acer rubrum
ACSA - Acer saccharum
CAGL - Carya glabra
CAIL - Carya illinoinensis
LIST - Liquidambar styraciflua
LITU - Liriodendron tulipifera
MAGR - Magnolia grandiflora
PIRI - Pinus rigida
PITA - Pinus taeda
QUAL - Quercus alba
QUFA - Quercus falcata
QUPH - Quercus phellos
QUPR - Quercus prinus
QURU - Quercus rubra
TSCA - Tsuga canadensis

Sampling Frequency: Three times a year, early, mid- and late summer.
Data Columns:

DataSource - who collected the data (Mohan, Beckage, Ibanez, etc)
Region - BW: Blackwood-Durham; CW: Coweeta
PlotID - Original plot ID in the source file
SlingType - Seedling type; natural or planted
Species - Coded value, four letters all lower case, defined in Methods/Experimental Design
HE98 - Height of the seedling from the ground to the tallest bud in 1998; centimeters (cm)
HE99 - Height of the seedling from the ground to the tallest bud in 1999; centimeters (cm)
HE00 - Height of the seedling from the ground to the tallest bud in 2000; centimeters (cm)
HE01 - Height of the seedling from the ground to the tallest bud in 2001; centimeters (cm)
HE02 - Height of the seedling from the ground to the tallest bud in 2002; centimeters (cm)
HE03 - Height of the seedling from the ground to the tallest bud in 2003; centimeters (cm)
HE04 - Height of the seedling from the ground to the tallest bud in 2004; centimeters (cm)
HE05 - Height of the seedling from the ground to the tallest bud in 2005; centimeters (cm)
HE06 - Height of the seedling from the ground to the tallest bud in 2006; centimeters (cm)
DI98 - Diameter of the seedling at 5 cm from the ground in 1998; millimeters (mm)
DI99 - Diameter of the seedling at 5 cm from the ground in 1999; millimeters (mm)
DI00 - Diameter of the seedling at 5 cm from the ground in 2000; millimeters (mm)
DI01 - Diameter of the seedling at 5 cm from the ground in 2001; millimeters (mm)
DI02 - Diameter of the seedling at 5 cm from the ground in 2002; millimeters (mm)
DI03 - Diameter of the seedling at 5 cm from the ground in 2003; millimeters (mm)
DI04 - Diameter of the seedling at 5 cm from the ground in 2004; millimeters (mm)
DI05 - Diameter of the seedling at 5 cm from the ground in 2005; millimeters (mm)
DI06 - Diameter of the seedling at 5 cm from the ground in 2006; millimeters (mm)
DE98 - Year of death: 1 if found dead in 1998; 0 if still alive or died on years previous to 1998
DE99 - Year of death: 1 if found dead in 1999; 0 if still alive or died on years previous to 1999
DE00 - Year of death: 1 if found dead in 2000; 0 if still alive or died on years previous to 2000
DE01 - Year of death: 1 if found dead in 2001; 0 if still alive or died on years previous to 2001
DE02 - Year of death: 1 if found dead in 2002; 0 if still alive or died on years previous to 2002
DE03 - Year of death: 1 if found dead in 2003; 0 if still alive or died on years previous to 2003
DE04 - Year of death: 1 if found dead in 2004; 0 if still alive or died on years previous to 2004
DE05 - Year of death: 1 if found dead in 2005; 0 if still alive or died on years previous to 2005


Data Codes:
NA - no data for HE, DI; for DE indicates
seedlings that were missing or lost under "extraordinary" circumstances, e.g. hog attack

Publications:

Ibáñez, I., Clark, J.S. and Dietze, M. Evaluating the sources of potential migrant species. Implications under climate change. Submitted to Global Change Biology.

Ibáñez, I., Clark, J.S. and Dietze, M. Will potential migrant species be able to colonize already established communities? Estimating the performance of potential migrant species. Manuscript in progress.

Data Restrictions: Users must adhere to the Coweeta LTER Data Policy.
Metadata: EML Format (XML Schema) | Information about EML
Data Downloads: Microsoft® Excel (.xls)
Text Comma Delimited (.csv)
DBase (.dbf)